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How does the T1D Index model work? And who is behind it?

Here are the answers

What the T1D Index is

Contact us

Partners & organizations

Future of T1D Index

How the model works

Symbols and terminology

Advocacy resources

What the T1D Index is

The T1D index is a tool that can help reveal the true impact of T1D. It provides the first-ever comprehensive global picture of T1D. Its data details the presence and growth of T1D in every country across the globe, noting the total number of healthy years and futures it has stolen along the way. The T1D Index aims to bring global attention to T1D to inspire action and help save and improve lives. As the first measuring system of its kind, The T1D Index provides a rare perspective into the data behind T1D and specific strategies to save the countless lives T1D will impact if we don't act now. This platform features three main pages that give a comprehensive overview of T1D situation around the globe:

Contact us

If you have data that may assist the T1D Index or want to be involved in future model development, contact us:

hello@tidindex.org

Partners & organizations

The T1D Index represents an ambitious global coalition of organizations. Breakthrough T1D, Life for a Child, ISPAD, and International Diabetes Federation are some of the key organizations uniting to highlight and support the millions of people living with T1D around the world. Relying on a collaborative approach and a vast network of partners, The T1D Index is dedicated to bringing global attention to T1D. It aims to inspire action and help save and improve innumerable lives. If you or your organization are interested in becoming a T1D Index Champion or contributing to future releases, please reach out to us at hello@t1dindex.org

Our founding partners

Breakthrough T1D logo
Website

Breakthrough T1D

Breakthrough T1D is the leading global organization harnessing the power of research, advocacy, and community engagement to advance life-changing breakthroughs for type 1 diabetes (T1D).

Life for a child logo

Life for a child

Life for a Child supports children and young people living with diabetes in under-resourced communities. They partner with local clinics in 44 countries and work to ensure every young person has access to the insulin and supplies they need. Life for a Child’s vision statement is, “No child should die of diabetes.”

The International Diabetes Federation (IDF) logo

The International Diabetes Federation (IDF)

The International Diabetes Federation (IDF) is an umbrella organization of over 240 national diabetes associations in 160 countries and territories. IDF is engaged in action to tackle diabetes from the local to the global level, representing the interests of the growing number of people with diabetes and those at risk.

ISPAD logo

ISPAD

ISPAD is the International Society for Pediatric and Adolescent Diabetes. The mission of ISPAD is to create a better world for children, adolescents, and young adults with diabetes. Additionally, ISPAD, in partnership with Breakthrough T1D, funds the annual Allan Drash Clinical Fellowship, which gives members based in developing and middle income countries the opportunity to expand their clinical experience in diabetes management.

Other partners

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Founding partner

The Leona M. and Harry B. Helmsley Charitable Trust is a global philanthropy organization committed to helping people live better lives today and creating stronger, healthier futures for individuals and communities.

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Founding Corporate Partner

Abbott is a global healthcare leader that helps people live more fully at all stages of life. The company’s portfolio of life-changing technologies spans the spectrum of healthcare, with leading businesses and products in diagnostics, medical devices, nutritionals, and branded generic medicines.

T1D Index Corporate Sponsor logo

T1D Index Corporate Sponsor

Lilly has been a global leader in diabetes care since 1923, when they introduced the world’s first commercial insulin. Today Lilly is building upon this heritage by working to meet the diverse needs of people with diabetes and those who care for them. Through research, collaboration and quality manufacturing Lilly strives to make life better for people affected by diabetes and related conditions. Lilly is working to deliver breakthrough outcomes through innovative solutions—from medicines and technologies to support programs and more.

Corporate Partner logo

Corporate Partner

Vertex is a global biotechnology company that invests in scientific innovation to create transformative medicines for people with serious diseases. The company has multiple approved medicines that treat the underlying cause of cystic fibrosis (CF) — a rare, life-threatening genetic disease — and has several ongoing clinical and research programs in CF. Beyond CF, Vertex has a robust pipeline of investigational small molecule, cell and genetic therapies in other serious diseases where it has deep insight into causal human biology, including sickle cell disease, beta thalassemia, APOL1-mediated kidney disease, pain, type 1 diabetes, alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency and Duchenne muscular dystrophy.

Partners

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T1D Index Contributors

Mark Barone

PhD

Brazil

Ms Emma Louise Klatman

United Kingdom

Professor Trevor J Orchard

MD, M Med Sci, FAHA, FACE

United States of America

Co-author

Uroš Bodanović

Serbia

George Kwayu

Chairman, Tanzania Diabetes Youth Alliance

Tanzania

Christopher C Patterson

Honorary Professor of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology, Queen’s University

Belfast, United Kingdom

Luis Eduardo Calliari

MD

Brazil

Sarah E. Linklater (née Allan)

PhD

Canada

Co-author

Priyanka Rai

MSc

Australia

Co-author

Professor Stephen Colagiuri

Australia

Co-author

Professor Ronald Ma

Hong Kong, China

Co-author

Professor Marian Rewers

MD PhD

United States of America

Jeremiah B Cooper

Liberia

Dr Carine de Beaufort

Guest professor, Pediatric Diabetologist–Endocrinologist, ISPAD President 2020-2022

Luxembourg

Co-author

Professor Dianna Magliano

OAM

Australia

Co-author

Tom Robinson

Australia

Co-author

Domingos Augusto Malerbi

MD, PhD

Brazil

Professor Kim Donaghue

The Children’s Hospital at Westmead and University of Sydney

Australia

Co-author

Dr Jayanthi Maniam

Australia

Co-author

Dr Banshi Saboo

India

Dr Ileana E Gill

Co-founder Guerreros Azules

Venezuela

Dídac Mauricio

Spain

Renza Scibilia

Australia

Jami Goodman

United States of America

Bridget McNulty

Co-founder, Sweet Life Diabetes Community

South Africa

Miss Kgabo Thapelo Semenya

South Africa

Gabriel Gregory

MD

Australia

Co-author

Dr Karla F S Melo

PhD in Endocrinology and Metabolism, Coordinator of the Public Health Department from the Brazilian Diabetes Society

Brazil

Ms Jazz Sethi

Founder, Diabetes Foundation

India

Dr Ragnar Hanas

MD, PhD

Sweden

Dr Vishwanathan Mohan

India

Dr Rachel Swift

Australia

Lala Jackson

United States of America

Dr Graham Ogle

General Manager, Life for a Child Program Diabetes NSW

Australia

Co-author

Charles Toomey

Co-founder, A4D

Thailand

Professor Partha Kar

MD FRCP

United Kingdom

Fiona Ooi

Malaysia

Fei Wang

PhD

Australia

Co-author

International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas Type 1 Diabetes in Adults Special Interest Group – Jessica Harding (Emory University), Luke Wander (University of Washington), Xinge Zhang (Chinese University of Hong Kong), Xia Li (Central South University), Suvi Karuranga (International Diabetes Federation), Hongzhi Chen (Central South University), Hong Sun (International Diabetes Federation), Yuting Xie (Central South University), Richard Oram (Exeter University), Dianna Magliano (Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute), Zhiguang Zhou (Central South University), Alicia Jenkins (University of Sydney), Ronald Ma (Chinese University of Hong Kong).

T1D Index Champions

Dr Henk-Jan Aanstoot

MD, PhD Pediatrician-diabetologist and clinical research Director Diabeter

Netherlands

Dr Kerry Kalweit

South Africa

Margery Perry

Past Chair of Research, Breakthrough T1D

United States of America

Karen Addington

CEO, Breakthrough T1D UK

United Kingdom

Aaron Kowalski

PhD CEO, Breakthrough T1D International

Dave Prowten

Former CEO, Breakthrough T1D Canada

Prof Silver Bahendeka

MBChB, MSc, Cert D&E; FRCPI, PhD Hon Senior Consultant Physician, St. Francis Hospital, Nsambya Kampala Hon Professor of Medicine, MKPGMS – Uganda Martyrs University, Kampala Chair, East Africa Diabetes Study Group (EADSG)

Jamie Kurtzig

Breakthrough T1D Volunteer & Stanford Student Researcher

Derek Rapp

Former CEO, Breakthrough T1D International and volunteer

United States of America

Nupur Lalvani

Founder Director Blue Circle Diabetes Foundation

India

Lorne Shiff

Breakthrough T1D International Director Emirita

United States of America

Prof Andrew JM Boulton

MD, DSc (Hon), FACP, FICP, FRCP, Former President, International Diabetes Federation Chair, EURADIA: Alliance for European Diabetes Research Professor of Medicine, University of Manchester and Visiting Professor, University of Miami, FL Consultant Physician, Manchester Royal Infirmary Past-President, European Association for the Study of Diabetes

United Kingdom

Michael Lee

Breakthrough T1D International, Director Emirita

United States of America

Efrat Tisch

CEO, Breakthrough T1D Israel

Sylvia Lion

Conseillère, responsable projets UNFM, Conseillère, responsable projets SFD, ISPAD Corporate Affairs Advisor, PCDE Advisor

Bart Torbeyns

Executive Director, EUDF

Belgium

Dr. Roque Cardona-Hernandez

Spain

Dr Chantal Mathieu

PhD, Endocrinology

Leuven, Belgium

Francesca Ulivi

CEO, Fondazione Italiana Diabete

Italy

Dr Juliana Chizo Agwu

Consultant Pediatrician in Diabetes and Endocrinology, Sandwell and West Birmingham NHS Trust

United Kingdom

Sina Mollaei

Undergraduate student at Stanford University

United States of America

Beatrice Vetter

PhD, Deputy Director NCDs, FIND

Switzerland

Nanette DeTurk

Breakthrough T1D International, Director Emirita

United States of America

Vivian Nabeta

Founder & Executive Director Sonia Nabeta Foundation

United States of America

David Walton

Chief Executive Officer T1D Exchange

United States of America

Snehal Nandagawli

India

Ingrid Wiechers

Former CEO, Breakthrough T1D Netherlands

Mark Fischer-Colbrie

Former Chair, Breakthrough T1D International and volunteer

Unites States of America

Ann Sofie Westh Olsen

PhD, Global Access to Care Lead Novo Nordisk

Denmark

Mike Wilson

OAM Former CEO, JDRF Australia

Claudia Graham

PhD, MPH, Chair of the Advocacy & Impact Committee, Member of the International Board of Directors, Breakthrough T1D

United States of America

Dr Dorota Pawlak

PhD, Chief Scientific Officer JDRF Australia and Director Australian T1D Clinical Research Network

Australia

Sydney Yovic

CEO, JDRF Australia

Future of T1D Index

This work is the basis for a publicly available, open-source model that will be updated annually as further incidence, prevalence, and mortality data become available. In future releases, the Index will expand to include T1D’s impact on economic costs, mental health, and quality of life. The data will also be broken down at regional and demographic levels. If you have ideas or data that may improve the T1D Index, please contact us and sign up to be involved in future model development.

How the model works

The simulation is informed by 400+ publications around the globe (dating back to 1890) and a global survey of more than 500 endocrinologists. These data sources have been fitted to mathematical and machine-learning models that speak to:  • Rates of new cases  • The risk of complications and mortality • Prevailing standards of medical care The T1D Index simulations provide the most accurate estimate of T1D currently available with version 1.0 testing to +/- 6 percent against real-world data. This is a significant improvement from leading existing estimates that test to +/- 35 percent against the same data. 

Conceptual outline of core model used the T1D Index simulator

Conceptual outline of core model used the T1D Index simulator

The T1D Index and accompanying research has been published in one of the most trusted medical journals, The Lancet Diabetes and Endocrinology.  You can dive deeper into the details here:

Symbols and terminology

Here we list and explain all the symbols and terminology we use around the T1D Index:

People living with T1D

Prevalence

Number of living people with T1D. Estimated through an epidemologic model (Markov) using population, incidence, and mortality as inputs.

People newly diagnosed with T1D

Incidence

Number of people receiving a T1D diagnosis for a specific year. This is estimated through extrapolation of reported incidence data in youth (age below 20) and adult cohorts.

Basic care

Minimal care

Basic care consists of a simple insulin regimen with minimal or no self-blood glucose monitoring, HbA1c testing, and diabetes education.Reports of basic care apply to people living with T1D (prevalence) and people newly diagnosed with T1D (incidence).

Advanced care

Non-minimal care

Advanced care is defined as an insulin regimen that is basal-bolus or, if possible, by continuous subcutaneous infusion with an insulin pump. This level of care is also characterized by multiple tests per day up to continuous glucose monitoring. Reports of advanced care apply to People living with T1D (prevalence) and People newly diagnosed with T1D (incidence).

Advanced care levels

The T1D Index accounts for a ‘Four Lever’ intervention system: Timely Diagnosis, Insulin & Strips Self-Management, Pumps & CGMs Self-Management, and Preventions & Cures. In the Simulator, each geography assumes one of these four levels as their ‘Default’ type of advanced care.

Lives lost to T1D

Deaths

Number of T1D-associated premature deaths for a given year, calculated from extrapolated Standard Mortality Rates.

Missing people

Missing prevalence

Number of people who would be alive with T1D if their mortality matched general population rates (or due to reduced diagnosis) derived from an epidemiologic (Markov) model.

Diagnosed T1D

Mortality in diagnosed people with T1D are based on a Standard Mortality Rate (SMR) relative to background mortality. Referenced in Lives lost and Missing people.

Undiagnosed T1D

Rates of deaths from non-diagnosis were derived from regional estimates from health professionals provided in a JDRF/ISPAD 2020 survey. Referenced in Lives lost and Missing people.

Healthy life expectancy

Health-adjusted life years

Number of years of disability-free life expectancy projected for a person diagnosed with T1D at age 10.

Healthy years lost

Disability adjusted life years

Sum of all years of life spent in treatment or ill-health (averaged from the potential impact of eight different complications).

Healthy years restored

Healthy life years refers to interventions associated to different care levels that can extend healthy life expectancy. ‘Healthy years restored’ is calculated as the difference in healthy life expectancy between people without access to care and people with access to different types of care.

Years lost

Health-adjusted life years lost

Total years of life lost due to premature mortality for a person with T1D diagnosed at age 10, compared to the life expectancy of the average person without T1D in the same demographic cohort.

Advocacy resources

To advocate for change, you’ll need a clear and concise plan. Understanding whom you need to influence, how to do it, and the best way to work are all vital for developing an advocacy strategy. The Diabesties Advocacy Toolkit provided below is aimed at helping advocates drive positive change and make an impact by deploying best practices for advocacy as outlined in the kit. The Life for a Child Diabetes and Human Rights toolkits are designed as a practical resource to help people use the human rights approach when advocating for increased provision of T1D care. This toolkit is available in English, Spanish, and French.

Change the numbers, change the story

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